Sany Renewable Energy (SH:688349) HTSC·2025-10-21 06:38Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [7][24]. Core Viewpoints - The release of the "Wind Energy Beijing Declaration 2.0" solidifies domestic wind power demand expectations, with a target of annual new installations of no less than 120GW during the "14th Five-Year Plan" and 140GW during the "15th Five-Year Plan" [1][2]. - The declaration sets a long-term goal for cumulative wind power installations to reach 1300GW by 2030 and 2000GW by 2035, reflecting a 62.5% and 66.7% increase from previous targets [2][3]. - The recent adjustment of the VAT policy for wind power is expected to have a controllable impact on industry demand, with a projected decrease in project equity return rates by 1.3 percentage points [4][5]. Summary by Sections Wind Power Demand and Targets - The "Wind Energy Beijing Declaration 2.0" establishes a reasonable development target for China's wind power, aiming for annual new installations of at least 120GW during the "14th Five-Year Plan" and 140GW during the "15th Five-Year Plan" [2]. - By 2030, the cumulative installed capacity is expected to reach 1300GW, with a further target of 2000GW by 2035, indicating strong growth potential in the sector [2][3]. Industry Confidence and Investment Opportunities - The declaration enhances industry confidence, with expectations of a recovery in both volume and price in the wind power sector, particularly for leading turbine manufacturers and offshore wind projects [5]. - The report recommends focusing on leading wind turbine manufacturers and offshore lines, specifically highlighting SANY Heavy Energy as a key investment opportunity [1][5]. Policy Impact and Market Dynamics - The recent VAT policy changes are anticipated to affect the return rates of land-based wind projects, but the overall impact on demand is considered manageable [4]. - The commitment to the "dual carbon" strategy and the introduction of renewable energy consumption targets further support the long-term outlook for the wind power industry [4].