HAID GROUP(SZ:002311) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-10-21 09:43Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 960.94 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.24%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 41.42 billion yuan, up 14.31% year-on-year [3][4] - The company continues to see growth in feed sales, with a total sales volume increase of 4.4 million tons, or 24% year-on-year, and expects a 20% increase in domestic feed sales and a 40% increase in overseas sales for the full year 2025 [4][5] - The company plans to spin off its subsidiary, Haida Holdings, for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which is expected to enhance its financing capabilities and overall valuation [5] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 372.63 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.43%, and a net profit of 15.04 billion yuan, up 0.34% year-on-year [3] - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 11.13%, a decrease of 0.20 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 4.54%, an increase of 0.07 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 51.48 billion yuan, 57.39 billion yuan, and 61.72 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.09 yuan, 3.45 yuan, and 3.71 yuan [3][4] Sales and Production Insights - The company expects to maintain a steady growth in pig farming, with an estimated 640-650 million pigs to be sold in 2025, and a reduction in breeding costs to approximately 12 yuan per kilogram by Q1 2026 [4] - The company’s feed business continues to improve profitability, with a net profit per ton of feed increasing by 10 yuan per ton in Q3 2025 [4] Valuation Metrics - The current stock price is 59.02 yuan, with a market capitalization of 981.95 billion yuan and a P/E ratio of 19.1 for 2025 [1][3] - The company’s projected P/E ratios for 2026 and 2027 are 17.1 and 15.9 respectively [3]