HPEC(SH:600312) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-10-21 14:19Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected revenue growth of 8% to 12% and net profit growth of 16% to 23% from 2025 to 2027 [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 8.44 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.0%, and a net profit of 980 million yuan, up 14.6% year-on-year [2]. - The company's gross margin improved to 25.1%, with a slight increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The decline in Q3 revenue and net profit is attributed to slower domestic deliveries, which aligns with expectations [2]. - The company has solidified its leading position in the high-voltage sector, with a market share increase to 8.5% following a 55% year-on-year increase in contract wins [3]. - The company has made significant strides in international markets, successfully entering the European market with its self-developed 145 kV environmentally friendly GIS equipment [3]. - The company has a robust order backlog, with a total investment in the national grid projected to exceed 825 billion yuan in 2025, marking a historical high [4]. - The company has effectively controlled sales and management expenses while increasing R&D investment, with a successful development of the world's first 800 kV 80 kA circuit breaker [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 8.44 billion yuan and a net profit of 980 million yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 7.0% and 14.6% [2]. - Q3 revenue was 2.74 billion yuan, down 3.6% year-on-year, while net profit was 320 million yuan, down 1.8% year-on-year [2]. Market Position and Growth - The company has a strong foothold in the high-voltage equipment sector, with a 23% year-on-year increase in the first four batches of national grid bidding, totaling 68.2 billion yuan [3]. - The company’s international expansion is marked by the introduction of high-end power equipment to Europe, enhancing its global presence [3]. Order and Investment Outlook - The company has a healthy order reserve, with contract liabilities increasing by 46% year-on-year to 1.87 billion yuan [4]. - Upcoming approvals for several ultra-high voltage lines are expected to provide continuous order growth [4]. Cost Management and R&D - The company has maintained good control over sales and management expenses, with respective rates of 3.4% and 3.0%, while R&D expenses increased to 4.5% [5]. - The successful development of advanced circuit breaker technology positions the company favorably for future growth [5].