China XD(SH:601179) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-10-22 00:46Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits of 1.37 billion, 1.76 billion, and 2.11 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting growth rates of +30%, +29%, and +20% [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 17.0 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.5%, and a net profit of 940 million RMB, up 19.3% year-on-year [2]. - The gross margin for Q3 was 23.2%, slightly down by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous year, but overall performance met expectations [2]. - The company holds a strong market position with an 8.3% market share in the domestic power grid equipment sector, benefiting from a historical high investment of over 825 billion RMB in the national grid [3]. - The company has a robust order backlog with contract liabilities of 5.07 billion RMB, up 29% year-on-year, and inventory of 5.67 billion RMB, up 15% year-on-year, indicating a healthy pipeline for future revenue [4]. - Cost control measures have been effective, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios showing improvements or stability, contributing to a net profit margin of 6.9%, up 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 17.0 billion RMB and a net profit of 940 million RMB, with a gross margin of 22.1% [2]. - The Q3 revenue was 5.67 billion RMB, reflecting a 15.7% year-on-year increase, while the net profit was 340 million RMB, up 1.8% year-on-year [2]. Market Position - The company maintains a leading position in the domestic market with a market share of 8.3%, supported by a significant increase in national grid investment [3]. - The company has secured contracts worth 5.6 billion RMB in the first eight months of 2025, marking a 15% year-on-year increase [3]. Order Backlog and Future Prospects - The company has a strong order backlog with contract liabilities of 5.07 billion RMB and inventory of 5.67 billion RMB, indicating a solid foundation for future growth [4]. - The initiation of bidding for ultra-high voltage equipment is expected to further enhance the order backlog, with anticipated bidding amounts exceeding 15 billion RMB [4]. Cost Management - The company has effectively managed costs, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios showing improvements, leading to a net profit margin of 6.9% [5]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 22.1%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [5].