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科大讯飞(002230):三季度业绩持续向好,大模型应用落地成效明显

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the company [1][14]. Core Views - The company has shown continuous improvement in its performance for the third quarter of 2025, with a revenue of 16.989 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.41%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -0.067 billion yuan, significantly reducing losses compared to -0.344 billion yuan in the same period last year [5][9]. - The "Xunfei Spark" large model has demonstrated industry-leading performance, with significant advancements in applications across various sectors such as education and healthcare. The model's capabilities have been enhanced while maintaining a competitive edge over global counterparts [9][10]. - The company has achieved the highest number and value of bids for large model projects in the industry, with a third-quarter bid amount of 0.545 billion yuan, which is 1.88 times that of the combined total of the second to fifth places [10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 16.989 billion yuan, a 14.41% increase year-on-year. The third quarter alone saw a revenue of 6.078 billion yuan, up 10.02% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.172 billion yuan, marking a 202.40% increase [5][9]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 40.28%, remaining stable compared to 40.45% in the previous year. The operating cash flow for the third quarter was 0.895 billion yuan, reflecting a 25.19% increase [9]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 23.343 billion yuan in 2024 to 40.932 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits expected to rise from 0.914 billion yuan to 1.548 billion yuan over the same period [7][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to increase from 0.40 yuan in 2025 to 0.67 yuan in 2027, with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios decreasing from 133.1 to 78.6 during this time [11][12]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company is recognized as a leading player in the artificial intelligence sector, with a focus on self-controlled core technologies. The continuous iteration and upgrade of the "Xunfei Spark" model are expected to provide substantial growth opportunities for the company's future [10][12]. - The number of developers engaged with the "Xunfei Spark" ecosystem has seen rapid growth, with over 1.22 million new developers added in the first three quarters of 2025, including 690,000 specifically for large model development [10].