国泰海通证券主要观点如下： 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 国泰海通证券发布研报称，在AI与脑机接口深度融合趋势及十五五规划政策加持下，技术迭代与场景 落地成为行业核心驱动力，AI融合赋能与政策资本加持下，脑机接口多技术路线并行推进，场景落地 加速开启商业化增长周期。看好全链条布局、AI赋能突出及临床场景绑定紧密的企业。 应用场景多点突破，商业化落地开启长期增长空间，头部企业多维布局构筑优势 风险提示：技术研发与商业化落地不及预期、政策监管与伦理合规风险、行业竞争加剧与核心部件依赖 风险。 脑机接口凭借双向信息传输能力构建人机协同通路，形成多技术路线并行发展格局 医疗健康是当前最确定的基本盘，已在听力障碍、震颤治疗、运动康复等领域实现产业化落地，国内多 家医院开启临床布局，医保支付体系完善进一步打通落地路径。消费、工业等场景加速拓展，消费端依 托非侵入式技术覆盖残障群体与健康人群需求，政策支持下有望成为高成长性新赛道；工业端聚焦高 危、高精度作业需求，处于试验验证向商业化落地过渡阶段。头部企业通过全链条研发、产学研合作、 多场景布局构建竞争壁垒，分别在非侵入式技术应用 ...

Core Viewpoint - The next wave of AI is embodied intelligence, which allows intelligent systems to understand, reason, and interact with the physical world [1] Group 1: Spring Festival Robot Participation - This year's Spring Festival will feature at least five robot companies: Galaxy General, Yushun Technology, Magic Atom, Songyan Power, and iFlytek, indicating a competitive landscape rather than a single dominant player [3] - Companies are investing heavily in Spring Festival participation, with sponsorship fees reportedly reaching 100 million yuan, highlighting the intense competition for visibility [1] Group 2: Company Profiles - **Galaxy General**: Valued at 20 billion yuan, it focuses on embodied large model robots and has received significant investment from CATL, indicating strong commercial prospects [4] - **Yushun Technology**: Known as a "price butcher," it has seen its valuation exceed 10 billion yuan and is expected to IPO soon, although its low pricing strategy raises questions about profitability [5] - **Magic Atom**: A spinoff from Chasing Technology, it aims for mass production and has set an order target of over 1,000 units this year, focusing on commercial applications [6] - **Songyan Power**: A newcomer with a strong technical foundation, having secured a spot at the Spring Festival within just over a year of establishment [8] - **iFlytek**: A publicly listed company showcasing advanced robotic technology with precise motion control, demonstrating its established market presence [9] Group 3: Performance Predictions - Predictions for the performances at the Spring Festival include human-robot interaction, advanced movement displays, and visually impactful group performances, leveraging each company's unique technological strengths [10] Group 4: Strategic Importance of Spring Festival Participation - Companies view participation in the Spring Festival as a strategic move to enhance brand recognition and demonstrate their capabilities to investors and the industry, positioning robots as essential tools rather than mere toys [11] - The focus is on developing robots that can understand and predict physical interactions autonomously, which is seen as a critical advancement for the industry [11] Group 5: Opportunities in the Industry - Key opportunities identified include supply chain improvements for core components, tailored solutions for specific scenarios, advancements in embodied AI models, and the creation of engaging content and IP for robots [14] - Entrepreneurs and professionals are encouraged to focus on niche applications and the integration of robots into specific industries to capitalize on emerging trends [12] Group 6: Future Outlook - The competition in the robot industry is expected to intensify, with only a few companies likely to survive, emphasizing the importance of technological barriers, scenario validation, and capital efficiency [15]

如何看待目前的计算机与 AI 应用？20260204 摘要 AI 应用与硬件股价分化源于业绩差异及市场担忧，如 AbbVie 虽业绩亮 眼仍市值下跌，Palantir 海外 B 端收入增长乏力，导致市场预期分化， 影响股票交易策略。 国内外 AI 应用公司面临主业受压制挑战，如 Salesforce 营收增速放缓， AI 收入占比低。公司经营状况改善是估值和 EPS 修复的关键驱动因素， 需密切关注相关数据。 计算机行业业绩预告显示头部企业如科大讯飞、深信服等表现良好，基 本面改善有助于布局 AI，中控技术股权激励计划展示信心，为投资者提 供参考。 字节跳动、阿里巴巴和腾讯加大 AI 投入，竞争加剧。字节跳动借春晚扩 大优势，阿里巴巴整合生态，腾讯引进人才，关注其 AI 产品推广及市场 策略。 投资者应关注 AI 编程、个人智能助理、多模态等超级产业趋势，以及大 型科技公司链条上的合作机会，如卓翼信息、智谱科技等核心企业。 Q&A 2026 年被称为 AI 应用和智能代理（Agent）元年的原因是什么？ 国内外的 AI 应用公司目前面临着类似的问题，即主业受到内需不足或传统业务 增速放缓的压制。例如，Sale ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or companies involved. Core Insights - The report highlights significant advancements in Chinese large models and AI agents, marking a transition from "following" to "keeping pace" with global leaders in AI technology [14][24]. - The competitive landscape shows a clear distinction between domestic and international models, with domestic open-source models gaining substantial ground [23][47]. - The report emphasizes the importance of multi-modal capabilities and the emergence of AI agents in practical applications, particularly in programming and task planning [16][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Key Developments in 2025 - The report outlines three major phases of AI model evolution: the initial competition among models, the explosion of multi-modal capabilities, and the rise of AI agents [14][16]. - Notable models such as Kimi-K2.5-Thinking and Qwen3-Max-Thinking have emerged as leaders in specific tasks like code generation and mathematical reasoning [18][24]. 2. Annual Evaluation Results and Analysis - The 2025 annual evaluation ranks Claude-Opus-4.5-Reasoning as the top model globally, followed by Gemini-3-Pro-Preview and GPT-5.2(high) [23][45]. - Domestic models like Kimi-K2.5-Thinking and Qwen3-Max-Thinking are positioned fourth and sixth, indicating a strong competitive stance [23][45]. - The report notes that domestic models are rapidly closing the gap with international counterparts, particularly in code generation and reasoning tasks [24][48]. 3. SuperCLUE Model Quadrant and Capability Landscape - The report presents a model quadrant that categorizes models based on their capabilities in reasoning and application, highlighting the emergence of "technical leaders" and "practical leaders" in the domestic market [38][39]. - The capability landscape indicates that while domestic models excel in certain areas, they still face challenges in hallucination control and precise instruction adherence [42][48]. 4. Comparative Analysis of Domestic and International Models - The analysis reveals that closed-source models dominate the top rankings, with significant advantages in reasoning and instruction-following tasks [74][80]. - Domestic open-source models are noted for their rapid advancements, particularly in coding tasks, where they have begun to outperform some international models [56][84]. - The report emphasizes the structural differences between domestic and international models, with domestic models showing a strong trend towards open-source development [24][47].

分析师 1: 各位领导，大家晚上好。我是天风证券传媒分析师王子杰今天我们这个 TMT 周会的主题 是国内外 AI 年报分析展望。接下来有请我们所长海清总先为大家进行一个分享。 分析师 2: 包括微软这些，对吧，这个代表性的都是 Meta 对吧，这些都是超预期的，就是基本开支 都是超预期的，所以对于算力的投入仍然是坚定不移，而且是超预期的这个警惕。我们可 以看到北美仍然是非常乐观。所以对应的我们也看到在海外算力公司的业绩上，比如说像 闪迪呀，也是非常爆表，对吧这个超预期。已经预期很高了，仍然在大超预期，所以海外 算力的这个业绩也很突出。那么当然我们又回到国内公司的海外算力公司，标地站，天孚 通信，对吧，来看到业绩低于预期，但是股价利空出尽就一路往上涨。 然后搞 CPU，现在很活跃。所以这个阶段是偏炒主题，所以你看，现在业绩虽然低于预期， 没关系，你炒主题，对吧？CPU 很强势，对吧？这个照样能够大涨。那么另外一方面，就 是像海外创业的新易盛，计算业绩其实超预期，尤其新易盛大超预期，结果，对吧，这个 也是遭遇了回调，就是因为这个阶段其实是偏这个主题的一个阶段。所以有业绩，而且 26 年的业绩，25 年业绩，大家可 ...

1月30日，国轩高科与科大讯飞在合肥正式签署战略合作协议，国轩高科董事长李缜、科大讯飞董 事长刘庆峰共同见证本次签约，国轩高科高级副总裁、工研总院院长周复与科大讯飞副总裁、羚羊工业 互联网股份有限公司总裁徐甲甲分别代表双方完成签约。此次合作是新能源产业与人工智能领域的强强 联合，双方将依托各自核心优势展开全方位深度协同，共同推动绿色能源与数字智能的融合发展。 签约仪式上，国轩高科董事长李缜对科大讯飞的技术实力与行业赋能能力给予高度认可。他表示， 科大讯飞作为国内人工智能领域的领军企业，在技术研发、应用创新方面持续引领行业，积累了助力千 行百业数智化转型的深厚经验。期待以此次签约为契机，双方进一步整合资源、深化协同，聚焦能源行 业的场景创新与价值共创，共同构建"人工智能+"融合应用的示范体系，打造可复制、可推广的产业数 智化转型标杆，为能源结构优化与新能源产业高质量发展注入强劲新动能。 科大讯飞董事长刘庆峰则对国轩高科在新能源领域的全产业链布局与行业影响力予以肯定。他指 出，国轩高科是全球领先的新能源电池企业，在动力电池、储能系统及全产业链布局上成就卓著，且对 人工智能的长期产业应用有着独特、深入的战略思考。希 ...

证券之星消息，2月3日软件开发板块较上一交易日上涨2.26%，国能日新领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4067.74，上涨1.29%。深证成指报收于14127.1，上涨2.19%。软件开发板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 301162 | 国能日新 | 74.64 | 10.61% | 6.74万 | | 4.87亿 | | 688031 | 星环科技 | 198.50 | 8.82% | 7.57万 | | 14.81亿 | | 300520 | 科大国创 | 44.30 | 8.21% | 36.98万 | | 15.84亿 | | 002405 | 四维图新 | 10.82 | 6.60% | 120.47万 | | 12.86亿 | | 301159 | 三维天地 | 52.29 | 6.54% | 10.51万 | | 5.37亿 | | 688631 | 莱斯信息 | 70.39 | 6.41% | 2.61万 | | 1.82亿 | | ...

中邮证券研报指出，科大讯飞经营质量显著改善，C端业务打开增长天花板。公司预计2025年实现归母 净利润7.85-9.50亿元，同比增加40%-70%；实现扣非净利润2.45-3.01亿元，同比增加30%-60%。公司坚 持核心技术底座自主可控，算法、算力、数据等要素自主可控的AI核心技术研究和模型训练体系领先 性得到进一步验证。"讯飞星火"大模型是目前我国唯一基于全国产算力训练出来的全民可下载的主流大 模型，整体技术指标持续对标全球第一梯队，并在教育、医疗、安全、能源等行业的模型效果全球领 先；星火多语言大模型已覆盖超130个语种，有力支撑中国人工智能出海，为世界提供第二种选择的同 时，将形成公司业务收入增长的有力支撑。讯飞星火持续升级迭代，加速规模化商业落地。维持"买 入"评级。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expectations of significant stock price appreciation over the next six months [7][14]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.85 to 9.50 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 40% to 70% [5]. - The company's C-end business is expected to open up growth potential, with a focus on high-end brand building and marketing investments to support commercial scaling of AI products [9]. - The company has established a leading position in AI core technology research and model training, with its "Xunfei Spark" model being the only mainstream large model trained on fully domestic computing power [9]. Financial Performance and Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 279.54 billion yuan, 334.85 billion yuan, and 401.19 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.75%, 19.79%, and 19.81% respectively [7][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 8.77 billion yuan in 2025, 12.36 billion yuan in 2026, and 15.65 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 56.56%, 40.94%, and 26.64% respectively [7][10]. - Basic earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.38 yuan, 0.53 yuan, and 0.68 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [7][10]. Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 57.00 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 1,318 billion yuan [4]. - The company has a total share capital of 23.12 billion shares, with 21.89 billion shares in circulation [4]. - The company's largest shareholder is China Mobile Communications Corporation [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within six months [7][14]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 785 to 950 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 40% to 70%. The non-recurring net profit is expected to be between 245 to 301 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 30% to 60% [5]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are 27.95 billion yuan, 33.49 billion yuan, and 40.12 billion yuan, with respective growth rates of 19.75%, 19.79%, and 19.81% [7][10]. - The company has significantly improved its operational quality, particularly in its consumer (C-end) business, which is expected to drive growth [5]. Financial Summary - The latest closing price is 57.00 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 131.8 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 124.8 billion yuan [4]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be between 0.34 and 0.41 yuan, with further increases to 0.38, 0.53, and 0.68 yuan in the following years [5][7]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 150.26 in 2026 to 84.19 by 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics as earnings grow [7][10].