中国巨石(600176):业绩延续增长,期待电子布量价齐升
CJSCJS(SH:600176) HTSC·2025-10-22 07:03

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of RMB 19.80 [7][5]. Core Views - The company has shown continuous growth in performance, with a revenue of RMB 139.0 billion and a net profit of RMB 25.7 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.5% and 67.5% respectively [1]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 is 32.4%, up by 8.7 percentage points year-on-year, indicating an improvement in profitability [2]. - The company announced a share repurchase plan, intending to buy back between 30 million to 40 million shares at a price not exceeding RMB 22 per share, which reflects confidence in future growth [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 48.0 billion and a net profit of RMB 8.8 billion, with year-on-year increases of 23.2% and 54.1% respectively [1]. - The operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 improved significantly, reaching RMB 21.3 billion, a 99.2% increase year-on-year, driven by higher cash receipts from sales [3]. Margin and Pricing - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 32.8%, showing a year-on-year improvement, although it slightly decreased by 1.0 percentage point from the previous quarter due to a minor drop in raw yarn prices [2]. - The average price for electronic fabrics has shown a positive trend, with expectations for improved profitability in Q4 2025 as price adjustments take effect [2]. Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, increasing the expected net profit to RMB 32.7 billion, RMB 39.6 billion, and RMB 46.7 billion respectively, reflecting a positive outlook on electronic fabric pricing and new production lines [5]. - The target price has been raised to RMB 19.80, based on a 20x PE ratio for 2026, indicating confidence in the company's stable growth and cost advantages [5].