SDHS(SH:600350) Xinda Securities·2025-10-22 08:16Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shandong Expressway (600350) [6] Core Views - The introduction of Anhui Expressway as a shareholder is expected to optimize the company's equity structure and promote strategic collaboration in the highway sector [2] - The highway segment showed steady development in the first half of 2025, with segment profits increasing by 2.5% year-on-year [3] - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 10.739 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.52% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 3.89% [4] - The company has a strong commitment to shareholder returns, with a cash dividend payout ratio averaging around 69.15% over the past five years [5] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate net profits of 3.346 billion yuan, 3.630 billion yuan, and 3.871 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13.0, 12.0, and 11.3 [6] Summary by Sections Shareholder Structure - The agreement for Anhui Expressway to acquire a 7% stake in Shandong Expressway is expected to enhance governance and decision-making through board representation [2] Financial Performance - The highway segment's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 56.9 billion yuan, down 3.5% year-on-year, while net profit was 14.7 billion yuan, up 2.5% [3] - The company's toll revenue for the first half of 2025 was 4.914 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 5.54% year-on-year [4] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see a gradual increase in profits as core road asset renovations approach completion, which may catalyze profit growth [6] - The company has committed to distributing at least 60% of its net profit as cash dividends annually, indicating a strong focus on shareholder returns [5]