Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Wanchen Group with a target price of RMB 219.16, while the current price is RMB 177.34 [2][5]. Core Insights - Wanchen Group reported strong earnings for Q3 2025, achieving revenue of RMB 13.98 billion, a year-on-year increase of 44.2%, and a net profit of RMB 383 million, up 361.2% year-on-year, resulting in a net profit margin of 2.7% [3][11]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company’s revenue reached RMB 36.56 billion, a 77.4% increase year-on-year, with net profit attributable to the parent company at RMB 855 million, approximately nine times higher than the previous year, corresponding to a net profit margin of 2.3% [3][11]. - The bulk snack business continues to show high revenue growth, with Q3 revenues of RMB 13.813 billion, a 45% year-on-year increase, driven primarily by an increase in store count [12][3]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 12.1%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.8 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.4 percentage points, attributed to economies of scale from increased store numbers and business expansion [13][4]. - Operational efficiency has improved, with the selling and administrative expense ratio decreasing to 5.5%, down 1.5 percentage points year-on-year and 0.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [14][4]. - The net profit margin for the bulk snack business has shown a steady increase, reaching 5.33% in Q3 2025, up 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [15][4]. Financial Projections - The report projects net profits for Wanchen Group to be RMB 1.206 billion, RMB 1.796 billion, and RMB 2.206 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profit margins of 2.43%, 3.12%, and 3.42% [5][16]. - The expected diluted EPS for the same years are RMB 6.54, RMB 9.51, and RMB 11.68 [5][16].
万辰集团(300972):25Q3业绩超预期,盈利能力持续提升