同花顺（300033）：市场活跃推动业绩高增，核心业务持续向好

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a total revenue of 3.26 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 40%, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 85% to 1.21 billion yuan [1] - In Q3 2025 alone, the company reported a total revenue of 1.48 billion yuan, up 57% year-on-year, and a net profit of 700 million yuan, reflecting a 144% increase year-on-year [1] - The active market has significantly benefited the company's core business, with the average daily trading volume of A-shares increasing by 107% year-on-year to 1.65 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [1] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts total revenue for 2025 to be 5.589 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 33.49%, and net profit to reach 2.572 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 41.06% [1] - The report predicts that the company's net profit for 2026 and 2027 will be 3.392 billion yuan and 4.265 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 31.87% and 25.76% [1] Financial Metrics - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 4.78 yuan for 2025, with a P/E ratio of 73.37 [1] - The company's contract liabilities reached a historical high of 2.519 billion yuan, up 113% year-on-year, indicating potential revenue growth not yet recognized in the financial statements [1] Cost and Expense Analysis - Total operating costs increased by 16% year-on-year to 1.93 billion yuan, primarily due to increased marketing efforts [1] - R&D expenses decreased by 2% year-on-year to 863 million yuan, while sales expenses rose by 33% to 530 million yuan [1] Strategic Developments - The company is building an AI+Finance ecosystem through strategic partnerships, including collaborations with Guotai Junan and GF Securities to enhance its service offerings [1] - The report highlights the company's commitment to improving user experience and product optimization in the AI sector, which is expected to drive revenue growth [1]