JD(HK:09618) GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-10-22 23:57Overview - The report highlights the successful performance of JD Group during the Double Eleven shopping festival, with significant growth in active users and sales across various categories [8][9]. Company Performance - JD Group's active user count increased by 47.6% from October 9 to 10, leading the industry in user growth [8]. - Sales in categories such as home appliances, mobile phones, and digital products saw over 70% growth in order volume by October 14 [8]. - The company reported a tenfold increase in transaction volume for exclusive custom products [9]. Delivery and Logistics - The report notes a reduction in subsidies for the delivery service, which, combined with improved delivery efficiency, is expected to lead to a decrease in losses for JD's food delivery business [9]. - The growth in order volume during the peak season and improved order structure are anticipated to enhance revenue [9]. Technological Advancements - JD Group introduced JoyAI, a large AI model aimed at optimizing supply chain efficiency across retail, logistics, health, and industrial sectors [9]. - The focus on core retail business growth, improvement in delivery unit economics, and the impact of JoyAI on supply chain efficiency are viewed positively [9]. Financial Projections - The report projects revenue growth for JD Group, with expectations of continued expansion in both domestic and international markets [6]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 435.00 billion, 549.00 billion, and 645.00 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 140.56 billion, 180.70 billion, and 214.19 billion yuan [6].