Workflow
行动教育(605098):2025年三季报点评:Q3培训需求回暖,收入利润实现高增

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating expected returns exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 570 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.5%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 210 million yuan, up 10.4% year-on-year. In Q3 2025 alone, revenue reached 220 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 27.9%, and net profit increased by 42.8% to 80 million yuan [1][2]. - The improvement in performance is attributed to a recovery in enrollment rates and a strong order backlog, with a contract liability balance of 1.048 billion yuan as of September 2025, ensuring future revenue growth [1]. - The company's gross margin improved to 78.54% for the first three quarters of 2025 and 80.16% for Q3 2025, driven by an optimized product mix [2]. - The company is actively implementing an AI strategy and the "Hundred Schools Plan," aiming to expand its sales network to 100 cities over the next 3-5 years, which is expected to drive long-term growth [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 78.54% and a net profit margin of 38.38%, with a significant reduction in sales expense ratio by 0.43 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.5 yuan per share, which accounts for 71.5% of the net profit attributable to shareholders in Q3 2025 [2]. Growth Strategy - The AI strategy has shown initial positive effects, improving new employee retention and sales performance. The "Hundred Schools Plan" has successfully recruited 9 branch managers and generated over 5.27 million yuan in revenue by July 2025 [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts net profits of 294 million yuan, 334 million yuan, and 371 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 16x, 14x, and 13x [3].