CJJG(SH:600496) GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-10-23 13:18Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong investment opportunity based on its performance and growth prospects [4][6]. Core Insights - The company has announced a shareholder return plan for the next three years, with a minimum dividend payout ratio of 70% or a cash dividend of at least 400 million yuan, whichever is higher, showcasing its commitment to high dividends [1]. - The company is experiencing rapid revenue growth, with Q1 and Q2 2025 revenues of 48.2 billion yuan and 50.9 billion yuan, representing year-over-year increases of 41% and 20% respectively [2]. - The company has secured a significant overseas contract worth approximately 1.23 billion yuan, further validating its growth strategy in international markets [3]. Financial Performance - The projected average net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is estimated at 6.8 billion yuan, with year-over-year growth rates of 15%, 21%, and 22% respectively [4]. - The company's cash flow has improved significantly, with net inflows of 4.7 billion yuan, 7.7 billion yuan, and 4.2 billion yuan for the first halves of 2023, 2024, and 2025 [2]. - The company’s overseas revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 15.6 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 54.5%, indicating a growing contribution from international operations [3]. Valuation Metrics - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 0.30 yuan, 0.36 yuan, and 0.44 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 14, 11, and 9 times [4][5]. - The company’s total revenue is forecasted to grow from 16.5 billion yuan in 2023 to 26.5 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 14.8% [5].