Sunner(SZ:002299) Guohai Securities·2025-10-23 13:35Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company's main business is steadily growing, with a revenue of 14.706 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.86%. The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 1.159 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 202.82% [4][6] - In the third quarter alone, the company achieved a revenue of 5.849 billion yuan, up 18.77% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 249 million yuan, down 11.40% year-on-year [4][6] - The company is optimizing its cost structure through the use of its self-developed breed "Shengze 901Plus," which has improved key indicators such as feed-to-meat ratio, leading to a continuous decline in costs [6] - The company is implementing a full-channel strategy, with significant growth in retail channels (over 30% year-on-year) and export channels (over 40% year-on-year) [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 14.706 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.159 billion yuan, with a notable increase in revenue and profit compared to the previous year [4][6] - The third quarter's revenue was 5.849 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 18.77%, while the net profit was 249 million yuan, reflecting a decrease compared to the same period last year [4][6] Business Strategy - The company is focusing on optimizing its channel structure, with a clear division into three major channels: large B channel, retail C-end channel, and distribution channel [6] - The C-end retail channel has seen a growth of over 30% year-on-year, while the export channel has grown by over 40%, indicating a successful strategy in expanding market share [6] Profitability Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 20.028 billion yuan, 22.337 billion yuan, and 25.214 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 1.503 billion yuan, 1.581 billion yuan, and 1.941 billion yuan [8][9] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are estimated to be 13, 13, and 10 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, suggesting an improvement in profitability as demand recovers [6][9]