劲仔食品（003000）：收入增速转正，利润率边际改善

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has shown a positive revenue growth rate, with a year-on-year increase of 2.1% for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a total revenue of 1.81 billion yuan. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 19.5% year-on-year to 173 million yuan [8] - The revenue growth is expected to improve, particularly in core product categories such as fish products, which are projected to grow at double-digit rates. The snack wholesale channel is also performing well, with expectations for continued revenue acceleration as more SKUs are introduced [8] - Marginal improvements in profit margins are anticipated, with a gross margin of 28.9% in Q3 2025, despite a slight year-on-year decline of 1.1 percentage points. The net profit margin for Q3 was 8.8%, down 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, but there are expectations for further improvements in Q4 due to cost reductions and better scale effects [8] Financial Forecasts - The total revenue forecast for 2025 is 2.505 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.85%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 237.43 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 18.5% year-on-year [1][9] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.53 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.36 based on the latest diluted EPS [1][9] - The company is expected to gradually recover from the bottom of its fundamentals, with net profits forecasted to increase to 348.21 million yuan in 2026 and 392.97 million yuan in 2027, corresponding to growth rates of 46.66% and 12.86% respectively [8][9]