科拓生物(300858):Q3收入快增,行业高景气度注入成长动能

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company has experienced rapid revenue growth in Q3, supported by a high industry prosperity level, injecting growth momentum [5] - The probiotic market in China has shown significant growth, with total sales reaching 70.4 billion yuan in the first seven months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of nearly 40% [7] - The company's new production facility for edible probiotics has commenced stable production, with expected annual output value reaching 300 to 400 million yuan this year and potentially 4 billion yuan annually within five years [7] - The company's profitability remains stable, with a Q3 gross margin increase of 3.72 percentage points to 56.43% [7] - The company has a clear expansion path, with dual growth drivers in the B2B and B2C segments, and plans to enter offline channels such as hospitals and pharmacies [7] - Earnings forecasts for 2025-2027 indicate a net profit growth of 9%, 20%, and 27% respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 43, 36, and 28 [7] Financial Summary - The company achieved a revenue of 267 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.3%, with a net profit of 76 million yuan, up 7.1% [7] - Q3 revenue reached 104 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29%, with a net profit of 35 million yuan, up 26.6% [7] - The company's total market capitalization is approximately 4.47 billion yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of about 3.29 billion yuan [3]