Foran Energy(SZ:002911) Guotou Securities·2025-10-23 14:32Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 12.43 CNY over the next six months [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 23.501 billion CNY for Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 5.38%, and a net profit of 490 million CNY, up 6.07% year-over-year, primarily due to the expansion of supply chain operations [1]. - The company has announced a shareholder return plan for 2025-2027, committing to a cash dividend of no less than 65% of the net profit attributable to shareholders each year [2]. - The demand for decarbonization in the shipping industry is increasing, creating significant growth opportunities for green methanol, as international regulations push for reduced greenhouse gas emissions [3]. - A collaboration framework agreement was signed with Hong Kong China Gas to invest in green fuel and chemical projects, with a total planned investment of 10 billion CNY [4]. Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a natural gas supply of 3.524 billion cubic meters, with supply chain and other business revenues reaching 13.621 billion CNY, a year-over-year growth of 20.67% [1]. - The company’s operating cash flow was 524 million CNY, down 57.74% year-over-year, mainly due to increased inventory for business expansion [1]. - The projected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 3.9%, 9.0%, and 8.0%, respectively, with net profit growth rates of 7.7%, 9.7%, and 8.7% [9]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.71 CNY, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 17.2 [10].