Nanhua Futures(SH:603093) Soochow Securities·2025-10-23 14:48Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in net profit year-on-year, with a marginal improvement in net commission income in Q3 [1] - The company aims to leverage its international strategy to create differentiated competitive advantages, particularly in overseas clearing [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 941 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.27%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 351 million yuan, down 1.92% year-on-year [7] - In Q3 2025, the company recorded revenue of 347 million yuan, with an adjusted year-on-year decline of 0.98%, and a net profit of 120 million yuan, down 6.21% year-on-year [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the first three quarters of 2025 was 0.58 yuan, with a return on equity (ROE) of 8.27%, a decrease of 1.06 percentage points year-on-year [7] Revenue Breakdown - The net commission income showed significant improvement, with a total of 430 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.5%. Q3 alone saw net commission income of 190 million yuan, up 53.2% year-on-year, attributed to improvements in futures brokerage business [7] - Interest income for the same period was 400 million yuan, down 23.0% year-on-year, primarily due to a significant decline in margin interest income influenced by interest rate policies. Q3 interest income was 150 million yuan, down 13.0% year-on-year [7] - Investment income for the first three quarters was 90 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 154% on a comparable basis [7] Cost Management - Overall expenses decreased in line with revenue scale, with business and management expenses totaling 500 million yuan for the first three quarters, down 4.9% year-on-year. Q3 expenses were 180 million yuan, down 1.4% year-on-year [7] - Credit impairment losses were 9 million yuan, a decrease of 54% year-on-year [7] - Other business costs were adjusted to 9 million yuan, down 67.3% year-on-year, mainly due to a reduction in other business income scale [7] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its previous profit forecast, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 471 million, 537 million, and 587 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.95%, 13.96%, and 9.23% respectively [1] - The current market capitalization corresponds to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 28.12, 24.67, and 22.59 for 2025-2027 [1]