ZMD(SH:688636) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-23 14:42Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential stock price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index within the next 12 months [7]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 145.16% year-over-year for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 512 million yuan, with a net profit of 82 million yuan compared to a loss of 9 million yuan in the same period last year [1]. - In Q3 2025 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 217 million yuan, marking a year-over-year increase of 340.71% and a net profit of 44 million yuan, reversing the previous year's loss [2]. - The company has seen a substantial increase in customer demand, with a backlog of orders amounting to 450 million yuan by the end of Q3 2025, driven by growth in airborne and missile-borne product orders [4]. - The company is expanding its projects in commercial aerospace, with 152 new research projects initiated in the first three quarters of 2025, maintaining the same level as the previous year but with a notable increase in commercial aerospace projects [4]. - The company is also pursuing a private placement to raise up to 213.4 million yuan for the development and industrialization of unmanned equipment and commercial aerospace embedded computing projects [4]. Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's gross margin decreased by 1.76 percentage points to 47.98%, while the net profit margin increased by 20.42 percentage points to 16.03% [2]. - The company’s operating expenses have returned to normal levels, with a significant reduction in the expense ratio by 36.20 percentage points to 24.84% [3]. - The forecast for the company's net profit for 2025 to 2027 is projected to be 120 million yuan, 179 million yuan, and 238 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 47x, 31x, and 24x [5][6].