supor(SZ:002032) Guotou Securities·2025-10-24 01:31Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy-A" with a target price of 54.86 CNY for the next six months [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 16.9 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.3%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4.7% year-on-year to 1.37 billion CNY [1][3]. - In Q3 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 5.42 billion CNY, which is a decline of 2.3% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 430 million CNY, down 13.4% year-on-year [1][3]. - Domestic sales continued to recover due to government subsidies stimulating small home appliance consumption, while external sales faced pressure due to the parent company SEB Group's lowered growth expectations [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's Q3 gross margin was 23.9%, unchanged year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased by 1.0 percentage points to 7.9% [2][3]. - Operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net inflow of 840 million CNY in Q3, representing a year-on-year increase of 37.3% [3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to see its EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 2.74 CNY, 2.99 CNY, and 3.27 CNY respectively, with a projected revenue growth of 2.1% in 2025 [4][11]. - The forecasted main revenue for 2025 is 22.9 billion CNY, with a net profit of 2.2 billion CNY [4][11]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is recognized as a leading brand in the domestic small home appliance industry and is expected to benefit from policies encouraging the replacement of old appliances, which may lead to stable revenue growth [2][3].