GREAT MICROWAVE(SH:688270) HTSC·2025-10-24 02:07Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 83.85 RMB [6]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, with Q3 revenue reaching 97.51 million RMB (up 51.33% YoY) and net profit of 38.64 million RMB (up 337.49% YoY) [1]. - The company is well-positioned in the aerospace industry, particularly in low-orbit satellite constellations and digital phased array technologies, indicating strong competitive advantages and growth potential [1][3]. - The company has improved its cash flow significantly, with operating cash flow reaching 21.53 million RMB compared to a negative 6.15 million RMB in the same period last year [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 302 million RMB (up 65.76% YoY) and a net profit of 101 million RMB (up 598.09% YoY) [1]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 82.26%, while the gross margin for Q3 alone was 77.45%, a decrease of 4.73 percentage points YoY due to changes in product mix [1]. Cash Flow and Inventory - The company recorded a total impairment provision of 27.75 million RMB in the first three quarters, up from 17.69 million RMB in the same period last year [2]. - As of the end of Q3, inventory stood at 144 million RMB, a 67% increase from the beginning of the year, indicating sustained demand in the downstream market [2]. Industry Positioning - The company is deeply involved in China's aerospace development, benefiting from the country's focus on becoming a manufacturing and aerospace power [3]. - The company has established a strong competitive position in the satellite sector, with its power management chips and RF transceiver chips already in mature applications within the aerospace field [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report revises the company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 downwards by 6.95%, 6.34%, and 4.99% respectively, projecting net profits of 158 million RMB, 276 million RMB, and 409 million RMB [4]. - The estimated EPS for the same years is 0.74 RMB, 1.29 RMB, and 1.91 RMB [4].