2025年 相控阵T/R芯片行业词条报告 头豹分类/制造业/计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业/电子 器件制造/集成电路制造 Copyright © 2025 头豹 智驭波束——相控阵T/R芯片在军民融合与智能浪潮中的核心跃迁 头豹词条报告系列 梁霄同 · 头豹分析师 梁 2026-02-05 未经平台授权，禁止转载 行业分类： 制造业/集成电路制造 摘要 相控阵T/R芯片是相控阵雷达核心元器件，决定雷达天线参数和整机性能，且探测效能与芯片配置数量紧密相关。其行业特征包括应用领域广泛、军用战略意义强、利润空 间高。2020-2025年，行业市场规模由8.41亿增至24.80亿，预计2026-2030年将增至44.82亿。历史增长得益于智能驾驶与5G基站需求扩张，以及军民融合推动。未来，卫 星互联网加速组网、智能驾驶产业高速发展，将进一步拉动相控阵T/R芯片需求，推动行业规模持续扩大。 行业定义 相控阵T/R芯片是相控阵雷达的核心元器件之一，通常集成于T/R组件内，承担信号发射、接收及幅相调控的关键功能，以此实现雷达的波束 赋形与波束扫描。该芯片的性能指标直接决定雷达天线的参数表现，对整机综合性能起着决定性作用。 ...

2025年 相控阵T/R芯片行业词条报告 头豹分类/制造业/计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业/电子 器件制造/集成电路制造 Copyright © 2025 头豹 梁霄同 · 头豹分析师 梁 2026-02-05 未经平台授权，禁止转载 行业分类： 制造业/集成电路制造 摘要 相控阵T/R芯片是相控阵雷达核心元器件，决定雷达天线参数和整机性能，且探测效能与芯片配置数量紧密相关。其行业特征包括应用领域广泛、军用战略意义强、利润空 间高。2020-2025年，行业市场规模由8.41亿增至24.80亿，预计2026-2030年将增至44.82亿。历史增长得益于智能驾驶与5G基站需求扩张，以及军民融合推动。未来，卫 星互联网加速组网、智能驾驶产业高速发展，将进一步拉动相控阵T/R芯片需求，推动行业规模持续扩大。 行业定义 相控阵T/R芯片是相控阵雷达的核心元器件之一，通常集成于T/R组件内，承担信号发射、接收及幅相调控的关键功能，以此实现雷达的波束 赋形与波束扫描。该芯片的性能指标直接决定雷达天线的参数表现，对整机综合性能起着决定性作用。除此之外，相控阵雷达的探测效能还与相 控阵T/R芯片的配置数量紧密相关，一部雷达 ...

Xml [Table_Title] 国防军工行业 海洋经济高质量发展，商业航天、燃机景气提升 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Page] 投资策略周报|国防军工 证券研究报告 | [Table_Grade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-03-22 | | [分析师： Table_Author] 孟祥杰 | | | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S0260521040002 | | | SFC CE No. BRF275 | | | 010-59136693 | | | mengxiangjie@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 吴坤其 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260522120001 | | | SFC CE No. BRT139 | | | 010-59133689 | | | wukunqi@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 邱净博 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260522120005 | | | 010-59136685 | | | qiujingbo@ ...

Core Insights - The report identifies a new cycle in China's defense equipment construction driven by "steady growth in traditional military industry" and "rapid development of civilian conversion of military technology" [4] - Traditional military industry is expected to continue its systematic and long-term progress, supported by key milestones such as the centenary of the People's Liberation Army in 2027 and the modernization goals by 2035 [4] - The civilian conversion of military technology is accelerating, creating new growth opportunities in various emerging industries, significantly enhancing the industry's elasticity [4] Group 1: Domestic and International Market Dynamics - The domestic market is expected to stabilize, while the international market presents new expansion opportunities for military trade [5][17] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is initiating a new construction cycle, with a focus on enhancing military capabilities through mechanization and information technology [7][19] - The military trade landscape is evolving, with a shift towards a more integrated and systematic approach to military exports [52][56] Group 2: Military Technology Spillover - Military technology is increasingly spilling over into civilian applications, broadening the growth space and enhancing elasticity in the military industry [70][73] - Key areas of focus include commercial aerospace, advanced aircraft engines, controllable nuclear fusion, and deep-sea technology, which are expected to drive long-term growth [4][80] - The report emphasizes the importance of technological breakthroughs and cost reductions in facilitating the transition from military to civilian applications [76] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The report highlights specific sectors for investment, including commercial aerospace, the dual-use aircraft industry, and controllable nuclear fusion [4][19] - The commercial aerospace sector is positioned for rapid growth, supported by national policies that prioritize aerospace as a key emerging industry [80][82] - The dual-use aircraft industry is expected to benefit from a resonance of military and commercial development, enhancing overall market potential [4][19]

Investment Rating - The report suggests focusing on investment targets with large market space, high barriers, and high performance elasticity, particularly in sectors expected to experience high growth such as new aviation equipment, missiles, unmanned equipment, military trade, domestic large aircraft, gas turbines, and commercial aerospace [5][30]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the military industry is driven by three macro factors: national defense policy, geopolitical environment, and domestic military expenditure, indicating an upward trend for the industry [2][31]. - It emphasizes the structural characteristics of traditional equipment showing steady growth while new combat power equipment is expected to see high growth, with military trade and civil-military integration opening up growth ceilings for military enterprises [2][30]. - The analysis of the military industry from 2020 to 2025 indicates that significant price inflation in certain segments, driven by equipment upgrades and increased usage, has led to substantial profit elasticity [1][23]. Summary by Sections Review of Military Industry Trends - The report reviews the military industry from 2020 to 2025, noting that the growth was primarily driven by national defense policies and the release of new equipment, leading to a "Davis double-click" market dynamic [14][16]. - It also discusses the impact of geopolitical events, such as the Russia-Ukraine war, on military stock performance, particularly in the U.S. market, where military stocks have seen significant valuation increases despite not achieving rapid growth in fundamentals [25][26]. Key Sectors to Watch - The report identifies key sectors to focus on, including: - **Aviation New Equipment**: Emphasizing the importance of new models and increased usage [8]. - **Missiles**: Highlighting the potential for high elastic growth due to low baselines and strong consumption attributes [8]. - **Unmanned Equipment**: Noting the maturation of China's unmanned equipment industry and its expected high growth during the 14th Five-Year Plan [8]. - **Military Trade**: Recognizing military trade as a significant growth driver for established military enterprises [8]. - **Domestic Large Aircraft**: Indicating that the large aircraft industry is entering a period of accelerated development [8]. - **Gas Turbines**: Focusing on the high demand driven by data center electricity needs [9]. - **Commercial Aerospace**: Identifying it as a super track with significant growth potential [9]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends identifying investment targets that are positioned in high-growth sectors with large market potential and high barriers to entry, ensuring that these companies can benefit from the overall industry growth [5][30]. - It suggests focusing on companies with strong market positions and high performance elasticity, particularly those involved in high-demand segments such as military AI, unmanned systems, and commercial aerospace [5][30].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The aerospace industry has been explicitly identified as a "pillar industry" in the government work report dated March 5, marking a significant recognition of its importance in the national economic strategy [1] - The report emphasizes the acceleration of satellite internet development, further solidifying aerospace and satellite internet as key focus areas during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] Core Insights and Arguments - The government report highlights the need for high-level technological self-reliance and strength, indicating a strategic shift towards enhancing domestic capabilities in critical technology sectors [1] - A "green channel" mechanism for listing financing and mergers and acquisitions for key technology enterprises is proposed, which could facilitate faster capital access and growth for companies in the aerospace sector [1] Investment Opportunities - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing accelerated growth, with a focus on reusable rockets and other catalysts driving industry momentum [2] - Key industry players and investment targets have been identified across various segments of the aerospace supply chain: - **Rocket Launch**: Guojijiang Engineering, Chaojie Co., Gaohua Technology - **Baseband Routers**: Zhenlei Technology, Xinke Mobile, Fenghuo Communication, Shanghai Hantong, Fudan Microelectronics (FPGA), Nanjing Panda - **Phased Array and RF**: Zhenlei Technology, Chengchang Technology, Tongyu Communication, Canqin Technology, Aerospace Huanyu, Guobo Electronics - **Satellite Platforms**: Guojijiang Engineering, Aerospace Zhizhuang, Qianzhao Optoelectronics, Tianyin Electromechanical, Zhimingda - **Information Encoding**: Jiayuan Technology - **Ground Stations**: Zhenyou Technology, Xinke Mobile - **Satellite Terminals**: Haige Communication, Xinwei Communication, Mengsheng Electronics - **Satellite Testing**: Xice Testing, Sikrui [2] Additional Important Insights - The emphasis on the aerospace industry as a pillar suggests potential government support and funding, which could lead to increased investment and innovation in this sector [1] - The identification of specific companies within the supply chain indicates a strategic approach to investment, focusing on firms that are likely to benefit from government initiatives and industry growth [2]

Core Viewpoint - The oil, gas, and shipping sectors have experienced significant gains despite a broader market downturn, driven by geopolitical tensions and supply chain concerns [12][13]. Group 1: Market Performance - On March 3, major Asia-Pacific stock indices fell sharply, with the Nikkei 225 down over 3% and the Korean Composite Index down 7.24%, marking its largest single-day drop since August 5, 2024 [1]. - The A-share market also declined, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping 1.43% to 4122.68 points, and the ChiNext Index falling 2.57% [2]. - Despite the overall market weakness, the oil, gas, and shipping sectors saw substantial gains, with major companies like China National Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil, and Sinopec hitting consecutive daily limits [2][5]. Group 2: Sector Highlights - In the oil sector, companies such as Keli Co. and Tongyuan Petroleum reached their daily limits, with Keli Co. up 30% and Tongyuan Petroleum up 20% [6][7]. - The gas sector also showed strength, with Kaiti Gas hitting a 30% limit and several other companies like Shenzhen Gas and Meino Energy seeing gains of over 20% [8][9]. - The shipping sector saw continuous gains, with companies like China Merchants Energy and China Merchants Shipping achieving daily limits [10]. Group 3: Geopolitical Impact - Reports indicate that the Strait of Hormuz has been closed by Iranian forces, raising concerns about global oil supply disruptions, as approximately 20% of the world's oil transport passes through this strait [12]. - The escalation of tensions in the Middle East is expected to significantly increase global shipping prices, benefiting various shipping segments [13]. Group 4: Banking and Insurance Performance - The banking sector showed resilience, with Agricultural Bank of China rising nearly 4% and other major banks like Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and China Construction Bank increasing over 2% [15][16]. - The insurance sector also saw gains, with companies like New China Life and China Life Insurance rising over 1% [17]. Group 5: Semiconductor Sector Decline - The semiconductor sector faced a sharp decline, with companies like Zhenlei Technology and Canxin Technology dropping over 10% [19][20]. - Despite the current downturn, institutions remain optimistic about long-term investment opportunities in semiconductor-related sectors due to ongoing demand for AI infrastructure [21][22].

Group 1: Gas Turbine Sector - The gas turbine sector is emphasized due to deep penetration into overseas supply chains and the dual logic of domestic aviation reform, which is expected to resonate positively[3] - The North American AIDC demand expansion, coupled with aging power grids, is leading to a structural power supply gap that is continuously increasing[6] - The global gas turbine market is highly concentrated, with GE Vernova, Siemens Energy, and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries collectively holding about 85% market share[32] Group 2: Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to see a new round of catalysts with the successful testing of reusable rocket technology, enhancing the prospects for commercial space ventures[38] - China's G60 satellite constellation plans to launch 1,296 satellites by the end of 2027 and 15,000 by 2030, indicating a significant demand for satellite launches[51] - The application end of the aerospace sector is focusing on core components such as communication terminal basebands, RF chips, and phased array antennas, which are expected to see stable or increasing value under cost reduction trends[55] Group 3: 3D Printing - The industrial-grade 3D printing sector is poised for a breakthrough due to material cost reductions and equipment efficiency improvements, marking a significant turning point for mass adoption[58] - The consumer-grade 3D printing market is accelerating towards a creative era, driven by AI empowerment, ecosystem strengthening, and supply chain cost reductions[68] - In 2025, the export value of 3D printers from China is projected to reach 11.355 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 39.1%[73] Group 4: Tungsten Market - The price of tungsten has surged significantly, with 65% black tungsten concentrate reaching 800,000 yuan per ton, up 73.91% since the beginning of 2026[80] - The increase in tungsten prices is driven by tightened supply and strategic pricing, with China's export controls on tungsten and other strategic metals contributing to this trend[79] - Companies with mining assets or expectations of asset injections, such as Zhongtung High-tech and Xiamen Tungsten, are expected to benefit directly from rising tungsten prices[81]

Core Insights - The report highlights the upward trend in commercial aerospace, particularly with AIDC's power supply and server sectors, military trade, and large aircraft [2][3] - The military trade, AI, and large aircraft sectors are expected to see significant growth, driven by geopolitical events and advancements in technology [5][14] - The report emphasizes the importance of the "S-curve" cycle evolution, focusing on supply chain reforms, military trade, and emerging industries such as commercial aerospace and AI [5][15] Industry Overview - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing a boost, with the launch of the Qianfan constellation for commercial communication services in Brazil starting in 2026 [5][13] - Military trade is gaining momentum, with geopolitical tensions influencing demand, as seen in recent events involving Israel and Iran [5][14] - The report notes the strategic importance of large aircraft manufacturing, with a focus on enhancing competitiveness in the global market [5][14] Company Analysis - AIDC is positioned well in the power supply and server markets, with expectations of increased demand from military and aerospace sectors [5][14] - The report identifies key companies in the defense and aerospace sectors, such as航发动力 (Aero Engine Corporation), 中航高科 (AVIC High-tech), and 航天电器 (Aerospace Electric), highlighting their growth potential and market positioning [6][23][24] - The analysis includes financial projections for various companies, indicating expected earnings growth and valuation metrics, such as PE ratios and ROE [6][23][24] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on companies that are adapting to the "S-curve" cycle, emphasizing supply chain reforms and technological advancements [5][15] - Specific companies are recommended for investment based on their strategic positioning and growth potential in the defense and aerospace sectors [5][15][23][24] - The report encourages monitoring emerging industries, including commercial aerospace and AI, for potential investment opportunities [5][15]

Group 1 - Lichung Group's stock increased by over 14% [1] - Guanglian Aviation's stock rose by more than 11% [1] - Other companies such as Western Materials, Hailanxin, Electronic Science and Technology Blue Sky, Tianyin Electromechanical, and Zhenlei Technology also experienced gains [1]