Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 85.00 [1][10]. Core Insights - The company has received approval for its recombinant type I α1 collagen freeze-dried fiber, marking it as China's first recombinant type I natural sequence collagen facial injection product, primarily used for dermal filling to correct dynamic wrinkles [1][6]. - The product is expected to potentially achieve sales exceeding RMB 1 billion in the medium to long term, with a favorable profit margin [6][10]. - The company is actively tracking its product strategy and market promotion pace, despite short-term stock price fluctuations due to market concerns regarding its cosmetic business performance [6][10]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: RMB 5,539 million (+57.17%) - 2025E: RMB 7,115 million (+28.45%) - 2026E: RMB 8,777 million (+23.37%) - 2027E: RMB 10,461 million (+19.18%) [5][19]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be: - 2024: RMB 2,062 million (+42.06%) - 2025E: RMB 2,600 million (+26.07%) - 2026E: RMB 3,203 million (+23.18%) - 2027E: RMB 3,812 million (+19.03%) [5][19]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company is positioned in a market with few leading players in injectable recombinant collagen, with competitors like Jinjibo focusing on recombinant type III humanized collagen products [7][10]. - The company’s product pipeline includes a recombinant collagen implant product that has been accepted for review, indicating potential for further expansion in the recombinant collagen medical device market [8][10]. Brand Performance - The company's brands, Kefu Mei and Keli Jin, have shown recovery in Q3 2025, with online GMV reaching RMB 615 million and RMB 72 million respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 20% and 17% [9][10]. - The company has also expanded its international presence, entering 13 Watsons stores in Singapore with multiple product lines [9][10].
巨子生物（02367）：获批重组I型胶原蛋白冻干纤维