亿纬锂能(300014):2025年三季报点评:动储电池出货量快速增长,股权激励与历史因素扰动短期利润

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][23] Core Views - The company's Q3 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.211 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15%. For the first three quarters of 2025, revenue was 45.002 billion yuan, up 32% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.816 billion yuan, down 12% year-on-year. Excluding stock incentive expenses and specific bad debt provisions, the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters of 2025 was 3.675 billion yuan, an 18% increase year-on-year [1][4] - The company experienced rapid growth in the sales volume of power storage batteries, with a total shipment of 83.0 GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a 47% year-on-year increase. The shipment of power batteries was 34.6 GWh, up 67% year-on-year, and storage batteries were 48.4 GWh, up 36% year-on-year [2][4] - The company is advancing its global strategy and rapidly deploying new technologies, including the successful launch of the "Longquan No. 2" 10Ah all-solid-state battery, which has an energy density of 300 Wh/kg [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 16.832 billion yuan, a 36% year-on-year increase and a 9% quarter-on-quarter increase. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.211 billion yuan, a 15% year-on-year increase and a 140% quarter-on-quarter increase [1][4] - The company adjusted its profit forecast, estimating net profits for 2025-2027 to be 4.505 billion yuan, 7.525 billion yuan, and 9.611 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11%, 67%, and 28% [4][5] Market Trends - The company’s power storage battery sales maintained a rapid growth trend, with Q3 2025 shipments of 32.8 GWh, a 20% quarter-on-quarter increase. The company is expected to benefit from increasing recognition of its large storage cell products and expanding partnerships with major automotive clients [2][4] Technological Advancements - The company is establishing a solid-state battery research institute and production base in Chengdu, with plans for significant production capacity by the end of 2025 and into 2026. The global expansion includes ongoing projects in Malaysia and Hungary [3][4]