HYMD(SH:600971) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-24 07:32Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Cautious Recommendation" rating for the company [3][4]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, primarily due to a drop in both volume and price in the coal business [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company managed to turn a profit compared to the previous quarter, aided by a decrease in expense ratios [1]. - The company is in the process of divesting loss-making assets in its power generation segment, which is expected to enhance future profitability [3]. - The report anticipates a marginal improvement in performance for Q4 2025, driven by a rebound in coking coal prices [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.782 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 30.1%, and a net profit of -100 million yuan, compared to a profit of 945 million yuan in the same period of 2024 [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.404 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.3% but a year-on-year increase of 17.2%. The net profit for Q3 was 29 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 84.2% but a quarter-on-quarter profit turnaround [1]. Coal Production and Sales - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company produced 7.247 million tons of raw coal, a decrease of 0.6% year-on-year, and sold 5.449 million tons of commodity coal, down 4.2% year-on-year. The average selling price per ton of coal was 653.9 yuan, down 27.4% year-on-year [2]. - In Q3 2025, raw coal production was 2.479 million tons, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.4%. Commodity coal production reached 1.966 million tons, up 10.1% quarter-on-quarter, and sales volume was 2.073 million tons, up 14.7% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Power Business Restructuring - The company plans to shut down low-efficiency thermal power units and dissolve certain subsidiaries due to ongoing losses and increasing carbon compliance costs. This restructuring is expected to improve the profitability of its power business [3]. - The company’s 50%-owned Qianyingzi Power Plant has recently connected a new 1000MW unit to the grid, which is projected to significantly enhance future earnings [3]. Earnings Forecast - The report forecasts the company's net profit for 2025 to be 111 million yuan, with expected earnings per share (EPS) of 0.09 yuan. For 2026 and 2027, net profits are projected to be 273 million yuan (EPS of 0.23 yuan) and 427 million yuan (EPS of 0.36 yuan), respectively [4].