Tesla(US:TSLA) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-24 11:55Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index within the next 12 months [7][13]. Core Insights - The company achieved a record delivery of 497,000 vehicles in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.4% [3][4]. - Total revenue for Q3 2025 reached $28.1 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 11.6% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 24.9% [4][11]. - The automotive business generated $21.2 billion in revenue, marking a year-on-year increase of 5.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.3% [4][11]. - The net profit for Q3 2025 was $1.37 billion, with a non-GAAP net profit of $1.77 billion, showing a year-on-year decline of 29.3% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.1% [3][4]. Revenue Summary - The total revenue for Q3 2025 was $28.1 billion, with the automotive segment contributing $21.2 billion [4][11]. - The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle, excluding new energy credits, decreased to $41,800 [4][11]. - The increase in total revenue was primarily driven by higher vehicle deliveries and growth in energy production and storage businesses [4][5]. Profitability Summary - The automotive gross margin (excluding new energy credits) was 15.4%, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.7 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.4 percentage points [5]. - The overall gross margin for the company was 18.0%, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.9 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.8 percentage points [5]. - The non-GAAP net profit per vehicle for Q3 2025 was $3,560.7, down $1,851.0 from Q3 2024 [4][11]. Research and Development Summary - R&D expenses for Q3 2025 were $1.63 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 56.9% [6]. - The R&D expense ratio was 5.8%, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.7 percentage points [6]. Production Capacity Summary - The company's total production capacity exceeds 2.35 million vehicles globally, with specific capacities for various models detailed [8]. - The California factory has a capacity of over 650,000 vehicles, while the Shanghai factory exceeds 950,000 vehicles [8]. Future Outlook - The company is accelerating the rollout of its Robotaxi service and plans to showcase a mass-producible Optimus prototype by Q1 2026 [9][10]. - The investment strategy focuses on technological upgrades and supply chain optimization to enhance production efficiency and scale advantages [10].