BAOFENG ENERGY(SH:600989) Tianfeng Securities·2025-10-24 12:42Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5] Core Views - The company reported a net profit of 3.232 billion yuan for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 162.34% [1] - The operating revenue for Q3 2025 reached 12.725 billion yuan, up 72.49% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of 3.392 billion yuan, reflecting a 144.03% increase year-on-year and a 14% increase quarter-on-quarter [1] - The sales volume of olefins has further improved, with polyethylene, polypropylene, and EVA sales at 678,200 tons, 667,100 tons, and 56,700 tons respectively, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase [2] - The company is actively advancing new projects, including the Ningdong Phase IV olefin project, which is expected to be completed and put into operation by the end of 2026 [3] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 12 billion yuan, 13.6 billion yuan, and 15 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11, 9, and 8 times as of October 24, 2025 [3] - The financial data indicates a significant increase in operating revenue from 29.14 billion yuan in 2023 to an estimated 51.12 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 55% [4] - The company's EBITDA is projected to grow from 9.36 billion yuan in 2023 to 18.16 billion yuan in 2025 [4] Market and Industry Context - The company operates in the basic chemical and chemical raw materials industry, with a focus on olefins and coking segments [5] - The coking segment has shown improvement, with a rebound in market prices for coking coal and coke, indicating a positive trend in this area [2]