思源电气(002028):三季度业绩再创新高,海外业务持续放量

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][25][26] Core Views - The company has achieved record high performance in Q3, with revenue and profit growth driven by expanding overseas business [1][19] - The company has significantly increased its overseas revenue, which accounted for 34% of total revenue in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 89% [2][21] - The establishment of a joint venture for IGCT valve group indicates the company's strategic expansion into new business areas [2][24] - The company has made notable advancements in supercapacitor applications, securing major projects in the automotive sector [2][24] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 138.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.86%, and a net profit of 21.91 billion yuan, up 46.94% [1][7] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 53.30 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.68%, and a net profit of 8.99 billion yuan, up 48.73% [1][19] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 33.25%, an increase of 2.29 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 17.67%, up 2.99 percentage points [1][19] - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 30.50 billion yuan, 40.45 billion yuan, and 49.50 billion yuan respectively [3][25] Financial Metrics Summary - The projected revenue for 2025 is 193.96 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 25.5% [4] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 30.50 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 48.8% [4] - The company's PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 31, 24, and 19 respectively [3][25]