巨子生物(02367):医美针剂获批,重塑重组胶原蛋白药械端格局

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][16]. Core Insights - The approval of the first recombinant type I natural sequence collagen facial injection product in China marks a significant milestone for the company, enhancing its competitive position in the medical aesthetics market [7]. - The new product is expected to drive revenue growth and reshape the competitive landscape in the collagen product category, showcasing the company's technological and industrial capabilities [7]. - The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth across its product lines, with notable performance from its flagship products and new launches [7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Projected revenue growth from 2023 to 2027 shows a significant increase, with revenues expected to rise from 3,524 million RMB in 2023 to 10,691 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 49% [6][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to grow from 1,452 million RMB in 2023 to 3,726 million RMB in 2027, with a CAGR of around 23% [6][8]. - The company's gross margin is expected to remain stable, averaging around 82% over the forecast period [6]. Product Performance and Market Position - The flagship product, "可复美," generated revenue of 25.4 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.7% [7]. - The company has successfully launched new products that have gained market recognition, contributing to overall revenue growth [7]. - Direct sales channels have shown strong growth, with direct sales revenue reaching 23.3 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, up 26.5% year-on-year [7].