JSSMDL(SH:603530) China Post Securities·2025-10-25 08:46Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, reflecting a downward adjustment in expectations [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.16 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 29.9%, with a net profit of 280 million yuan, up 28.5% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, revenue reached 460 million yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth of 33.4% and 9.4%, respectively [3]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 45.1%, a slight increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 23.8%, down 0.3 percentage points year-on-year. The overall increase in expense ratios was attributed to increased marketing, management, and R&D personnel to expand market reach and develop new products [4]. - Global investment in power grids is expected to rise, with a projected investment of 390 billion USD in 2024, a 9% increase year-on-year, and an anticipated surpassing of 400 billion USD in 2025. The growth in renewable energy is expected to put continuous pressure on grid security, leading to a long-term positive outlook for grid enhancement [5]. Financial Forecast and Metrics - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 430 million, 530 million, and 670 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 37, 29, and 23 times [6]. - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2027 are 1.345 billion, 1.863 billion, 2.484 billion, and 3.177 billion yuan, with growth rates of 40.22%, 38.55%, 33.29%, and 27.92% respectively [10]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to decline slightly from 43.6% in 2024 to 41.0% in 2027, while the net margin is projected to decrease from 23.1% to 21.0% over the same period [11].