九号公司(689009):公司信息更新报告:2025Q3营收增速亮眼,费用率阶段性提升不改长期业务成长性

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 6.65 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 56.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 550 million yuan, up 46%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 490 million yuan, an increase of 37% [6] - The revenue growth was driven by seasonal factors and the impact of expense provisions for lawnmowers. The long-term outlook for the two-wheeled vehicle segment remains positive due to channel optimization and sales performance [6][8] - The company expects to maintain double-digit growth in operating profit for two-wheeled vehicles, supported by increasing brand presence and new product introductions [6][8] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from two-wheeled vehicles reached 4.5 billion yuan, up 72%, with sales of 1.49 million units, a 59% increase. The average price was 2,996 yuan, an 8% increase [6] - Retail scooter revenue was 1 billion yuan, up 38%, with sales of 420,000 units, a 16% increase. The average price was 2,288 yuan, up 19% [6] - Revenue from ToB channels was 200 million yuan, up 17%, while all-terrain vehicle revenue was 330 million yuan, up 27% [6] Financial Performance - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 29.0%, an increase of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year. The expense ratio was 19.6%, up 2.6 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased sales, management, and R&D expenses [7] - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 8.2%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin excluding non-recurring items was 7.3%, down 1.1 percentage points [7] Long-term Growth Potential - The two-wheeled vehicle segment is expected to continue showing profit elasticity, with anticipated high growth in Q1 2026 due to new product launches and inventory reduction [8] - The lawnmower segment is projected to maintain high growth, supported by a broad offline channel layout and stable product performance [8] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 20.18 billion yuan, 28.04 billion yuan, and 37.58 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 28.13 yuan, 39.10 yuan, and 51.39 yuan [6][9]