中天火箭（003009）：业绩阶段性承压，多个细分行业龙头地位稳固

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, citing its leading position in the small solid rocket sector and product derivation capabilities [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 444 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-over-year decrease of 30.95%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -29 million yuan, compared to 17 million yuan in the same period last year [1]. - The decline in revenue is attributed to increased competition affecting its subsidiary, Supercode Technology, and underperformance in sales from Sanwo Electromechanical [1][2]. - Despite the revenue drop, the gross margin improved by 0.18 percentage points to 19.00% for the first three quarters, although the gross margin for Q3 2025 fell by 10.25 percentage points to 10.37% [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 143 million yuan, down 26.55% year-over-year, with a net profit of -33 million yuan [1]. - The increase in expense ratio contributed to the revenue decline, with the total expense ratio rising by 6.12 percentage points to 23.84% [2]. - The company reported an asset impairment loss of 12 million yuan, up from 3 million yuan in the previous year, impacting profits by 13 million yuan [2]. Business Development and Market Position - The company maintains a leading market share in various segments, including rain enhancement and hail suppression rockets, which accounted for 30% of revenue in 2024 [3]. - The company is expanding its product offerings, including guided rockets suitable for different environments and new carbon-based materials, seeking new growth points [3]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 16 million yuan, 69 million yuan, and 140 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 498x, 118x, and 58x [4][5].