ORIENT CABLE (NBO)(SH:603606) Guohai Securities·2025-10-26 13:33Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a record high quarterly performance, with significant growth in revenue and net profit in Q3 2025, driven by increased delivery of 500kV submarine cables [3][7] - The company’s revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 7.498 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 914 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2% [6][7] - The company’s order backlog has increased significantly, with a year-on-year growth of 112%, indicating strong future revenue potential [7][10] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.066 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 34% [6][7] - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 441 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 53% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 130% [6][7] - The gross margin and net margin for Q3 2025 were 22.6% and 14.4%, respectively, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.4 percentage points and 6.0 percentage points [7] Order Backlog and Market Outlook - As of October 23, 2025, the company’s order backlog stood at 19.6 billion yuan, with a significant portion attributed to submarine cables and high-voltage cables [7][10] - The company is entering a peak delivery season for 500kV submarine cables, with several projects already in the final stages of connection [7][10] - The domestic offshore wind policy is expected to catalyze further growth, with a projected annual installation target of over 15GW, representing a 67% increase compared to previous years [7][10] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 11.4 billion yuan, 13.51 billion yuan, and 15.71 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9][10] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 1.535 billion yuan, 2.087 billion yuan, and 2.630 billion yuan for the same years [9][10] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios corresponding to the current stock price are estimated to be 29.67x, 21.82x, and 17.31x for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [10][11]