JONJEE(SH:600872) CMS·2025-10-26 14:05Investment Rating - The report adjusts the investment rating to "Accumulate" based on the company's performance and future expectations [1][2]. Core Views - The company is experiencing ongoing performance pressure, with Q3 2025 revenue and net profit down by 19.37% and 41.93% year-on-year, respectively [1][3]. - Despite the revenue decline, the gross margin shows a positive trend, but increased expenses are putting pressure on profitability [1][3]. - The new management team is expected to continue reforms and enhance mergers and channel expansion, aiming to gradually improve the company's situation [1][3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.156 billion and net profit of 380 million, reflecting year-on-year declines of 20.01% and 34.07% respectively [1][4]. - Q3 2025 saw revenue of 1.024 billion and net profit of 123 million, with year-on-year declines of 22.84% and 45.66% [1][4]. - The company’s gross margin for Q3 2025 was 39.5%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased to 12.0%, down 5.1 percentage points year-on-year due to rising expense ratios [1][4]. Product Performance Summary - The soy sauce segment faced significant pressure, with Q3 2025 revenue down 19.16% year-on-year, while other product lines also showed declines [1][3]. - The company maintained pricing strategies and improved channel inventory health despite the challenging market environment [1][3]. Regional Performance Summary - Revenue by region in Q3 2025 showed declines across all areas, with the eastern region down 27.3% and the southern region down 19.7% year-on-year [1][3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue facing operational pressures in Q4 2025 due to high base effects and seasonal factors, but it is also working on clearing burdens and pushing forward with reforms [1][4]. - EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 0.76 and 0.88 yuan, respectively, with a corresponding valuation of 24 times for 2025 [1][4].