wanhua(SH:600309) Guoxin Securities·2025-10-27 01:20Investment Rating - The investment rating for Wanhua Chemical is "Outperform the Market" [5][31] Core Views - In Q3 2025, Wanhua Chemical reported a revenue of 53.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.03 billion yuan, up 4.0% year-on-year but down 0.2% quarter-on-quarter [8][31] - The polyurethane segment showed differentiated demand with orderly capacity expansion. The revenue from the polyurethane segment was 18.25 billion yuan, down 1.1% quarter-on-quarter, with production and sales volumes of 1.56 million tons and 1.55 million tons, respectively [10][24] - The petrochemical segment faced price pressure but benefited from new capacity contributions, achieving a revenue of 24.39 billion yuan, up 31.1% quarter-on-quarter, with production and sales volumes of 1.83 million tons and 1.75 million tons, respectively [24][27] - The fine chemicals and new materials segment maintained stable production and sales, with revenue of 8.18 billion yuan, down 1.0% quarter-on-quarter, and production and sales volumes of 650,000 tons [27][28] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Wanhua Chemical's gross margin was 12.8%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 0.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin was 6.3%, down 0.3 percentage points year-on-year and 0.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [8][10] - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 12.556 billion yuan, 14.057 billion yuan, and 14.307 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 4.00, 4.48, and 4.56 yuan [31][33] Segment Analysis - The polyurethane segment's product prices showed fluctuations, with pure MDI priced at 18,300 yuan/ton, polymer MDI at 15,200 yuan/ton, TDI at 14,700 yuan/ton, and soft foam polyether at 8,000 yuan/ton [10][24] - The petrochemical segment's product prices generally declined, with significant drops in major products like propylene and butanol, but the company managed to offset price pressures through increased capacity utilization [24][27] - The fine chemicals and new materials segment continued to develop, with a focus on high-value products and new energy industry demand supporting long-term growth [27][28]