JFL(SH:600901) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-27 01:22Core Insights - The leasing industry is expected to benefit from a low interest rate environment, which may drive corporate capital expenditure cycles upward, making it an attractive high dividend strategy [1] - The leasing sector has shown resilience against economic cycles, with stable revenue and profit growth, and a focus on high-quality, undervalued stocks [1][2] Industry Overview - The leasing industry has undergone five cycles since 2005, closely tied to capital expenditure cycles and interest rates, with a notable recovery expected in the coming years [9][10] - The leasing sector's revenue and profit have shown steady growth, with a 9.5% year-on-year increase in operating income and a 9.1% increase in net profit for 2024 [14][18] - Policy support and the "Two Heavy, Two New" initiative are expected to catalyze further growth in the leasing market [18] Industry Characteristics - The leasing industry has a broad investment scope, focusing on heavy assets and high capital expenditure sectors, with a significant portion of credit extended to small and medium enterprises [2][30] - The asset side of leasing companies is increasingly focused on high-growth industries, while the liability side benefits from diversified financing channels [2][30] Investment Value - Leasing companies are characterized by high profitability and low financial leverage, with dividend rates surpassing those of traditional banks since 2020 [2][3] - The leasing sector is positioned as a new focal point for high dividend strategies, with a growing emphasis on asset quality and profitability [3][27] Key Companies - Three main areas of focus include: 1. Aircraft and ship leasing companies, which are expected to benefit from a high demand cycle [3][39] 2. Companies focusing on leasing for small and medium enterprises, such as Jiangsu Jinzhong, which has a unique vendor leasing model [3][2] 3. Traditional leasing companies transitioning to emerging industries, like Yuexiu Capital, which is expanding into renewable energy [3][2] Recommendations - Investment suggestions include Jiangsu Jinzhong and Far East Horizon in financial leasing, and China Aircraft Leasing and China Ship Leasing in specialized equipment leasing [3][3]