SUPCON Technology (SH:688777) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-10-27 02:12Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is a leader in process industrial intelligent manufacturing and is expected to benefit from equipment renewal policies and overseas expansion opportunities. The industrial AI sector is anticipated to open up long-term growth potential. The profit forecast remains unchanged, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at 1.12 billion, 1.29 billion, and 1.55 billion yuan, respectively. The corresponding EPS is projected to be 1.41, 1.63, and 1.96 yuan per share, with current stock prices reflecting P/E ratios of 37.5, 32.6, and 27.0 times [4][5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's operating revenue was approximately 5.654 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.78%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was about 432 million yuan, down 39.78% year-on-year [5]. - As of the end of Q3 2025, the company's contract liabilities amounted to 1.523 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.62%, laying a foundation for future performance release [6]. - The company is actively developing its industrial AI business, with revenue from the TPT business reaching 154 million yuan and software annual recurring revenue (ARR) at 76.91 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025. The robotics business generated 122 million yuan in revenue [6]. Share Buyback and Employee Incentives - On October 24, the company announced a share buyback plan to enhance confidence and bind employees for long-term development. The buyback amount is set between 500 million and 1 billion yuan, with a maximum buyback price of 68.81 yuan per share [7]. Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company's financial metrics for 2023A to 2027E include: - Operating revenue (million yuan): 8,620, 9,139, 9,563, 10,889, 12,550 - Net profit attributable to the parent company (million yuan): 1,102, 1,117, 1,120, 1,290, 1,554 - Gross margin (%): 33.2, 33.9, 34.0, 34.2, 34.5 - Net margin (%): 12.8, 12.2, 11.7, 11.8, 12.4 - EPS (diluted, yuan): 1.39, 1.41, 1.41, 1.63, 1.96 - P/E (times): 38.1, 37.6, 37.5, 32.6, 27.0 [8][10][11].