百亚股份(003006):25Q3外围省份稳步开拓,静待电商盈利改善

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 35.57 CNY, maintaining the rating [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.623 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.80%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 245 million CNY, up 2.53% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 859 million CNY, an increase of 8.33% year-on-year, while the net profit decreased by 3.89% to 57 million CNY [1]. - The company is focusing on expanding its market presence in non-core regions, with significant growth in offline channels, particularly in peripheral provinces, where revenue increased by 113.4% year-on-year [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the gross margin was 54.00%, a decrease of 0.88 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 2025, the gross margin was 55.55%, down 0.25 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The net profit margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 9.33%, down 0.93 percentage points year-on-year, while for Q3 2025, it was 6.58%, a decrease of 0.84 percentage points [3]. Market Strategy - The company is increasing its investment in peripheral provinces to enhance nationwide market expansion. The offline channel revenue for Q1-Q3 2025 was 1.62 billion CNY, growing by 35.7% year-on-year [2]. - The company is also adjusting its e-commerce strategies to recover from recent challenges, focusing on platforms like Douyin and Xiaohongshu for brand exposure and customer acquisition [2]. Future Projections - The company expects revenues of 3.701 billion CNY, 4.595 billion CNY, and 5.755 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.73%, 24.17%, and 25.23% [9]. - The projected net profit for the same years is 323 million CNY, 446 million CNY, and 555 million CNY, with growth rates of 12.22%, 38.11%, and 24.49% [9].