Zhejiang Dahua Technology (SZ:002236) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-27 02:31Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Dahua Technology Co., Ltd. (002236.SZ) [5] Core Views - The company has shown significant profit improvement, with a notable increase in net profit by 38.92% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 3.535 billion yuan [1] - The company is strategically positioned to benefit from domestic substitution and AI advancements, with a focus on enhancing operational efficiency and cash flow [1][2] - Dahua Technology is actively pursuing technological upgrades and channel development across various business segments, including government, B-end, and overseas markets [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 22.913 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 2.06%, and a net profit of 3.535 billion yuan, reflecting a 38.92% increase [1] - In Q3 2025, revenue was 7.731 billion yuan, up 1.95% year-on-year, with net profit reaching 1.060 billion yuan, a 44.12% increase [1] Operational Efficiency - The company has implemented strict project selection and cost control measures, leading to an improved gross margin of 41.74% in Q3 2025, up 1.84 percentage points from Q3 2024 [1] - Cash flow from operating activities for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1.564 billion yuan, a significant improvement from -125 million yuan in the same period of 2024 [1] Business Development - In the government sector, Dahua Technology is focusing on "people's livelihood" initiatives, promoting large model business in data management and urban governance, and has secured major server procurement projects [2] - The B-end business is seeing increased investment in digitalization, with new product launches tailored to local market needs [2] - The company has established six regional supply centers in Europe, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America, enhancing its local operational capabilities [2] Technological Advancements - Dahua Technology is committed to substantial R&D investments, enhancing its "Five Full" capabilities, which include full perception, intelligence, connectivity, computation, and ecosystem [3] - The company has successfully implemented AI large model applications in various sectors, improving algorithm accuracy and overall user experience [3] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 35.364 billion yuan, 38.939 billion yuan, and 43.172 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 3.274 billion yuan, 3.729 billion yuan, and 4.427 billion yuan [4][10] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 20X, 18X, and 15X, respectively, based on the closing price on October 24, 2025 [3][4]