Eastroc Beverage(SH:605499) EBSCN·2025-10-27 03:33Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 16.844 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 34.13%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 3.761 billion yuan, up 38.91% year-on-year [4][5] - The growth was driven by the core product "Dongpeng Special Drink," which generated approximately 12.563 billion yuan in revenue, a 19.4% increase year-on-year, and the second growth curve "Dongpeng Water" electrolyte drinks, which saw a revenue increase of 134.8% to 2.847 billion yuan [5][6] - The company's national expansion strategy is showing significant results, with revenue growth in various regions, particularly in Southwest and North China, where revenues increased by 48.9% and 72.9% respectively [5][8] Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.107 billion yuan, a 30.36% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.386 billion yuan, up 41.91% year-on-year [4][5] - The revenue from energy drinks, electrolyte drinks, and other beverages in Q3 was 4.203 billion yuan, 1.354 billion yuan, and 0.547 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 14.6%, 83.8%, and 95.6% [6] Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 45.2%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin reached 22.3%, up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [7][8] - The company maintained strict cost control, with a total expense ratio of 17.8%, down 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [7] Product and Market Strategy - The company is successfully building a comprehensive beverage group, with a focus on high-cost performance strategies and expanding its product matrix [8] - The number of distribution points has exceeded 4.2 million, and the company is enhancing its channel depth and brand exposure through various marketing strategies [8] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 4.584 billion yuan, 5.840 billion yuan, and 7.046 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 8.81 yuan, 11.23 yuan, and 13.55 yuan [9][10] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 34x for 2025, 27x for 2026, and 22x for 2027 [9]