Kewell(SH:688551) China Post Securities·2025-10-27 03:32Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within six months [6][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 370 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.0%, with a net profit of 50 million yuan, down 0.1% year-on-year. However, Q3 2025 showed a revenue increase of 17.9% quarter-on-quarter and 23.8% year-on-year, with net profit rising by 110.4% quarter-on-quarter and 94.1% year-on-year, indicating strong performance in the testing power business despite underperformance in the hydrogen energy sector [4][5]. - The company is actively expanding its presence in the AI testing power sector, having secured small batch orders and completed some deliveries. It is also working on automating testing solutions for leading industry clients [5]. - The hydrogen energy industry is expected to gain momentum during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with national strategic support anticipated, which may lead to improved industry conditions and ongoing policy support [5]. Financial Forecast and Metrics - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 550 million yuan, 660 million yuan, and 840 million yuan, respectively. Corresponding net profits are forecasted at 70 million yuan, 90 million yuan, and 130 million yuan, leading to price-to-earnings ratios of 52, 38, and 27 times [6][9]. - The company’s gross margin and net margin for the first three quarters of 2025 were 40.8% and 13.9%, respectively, with a notable reduction in sales expense ratio to 11.6% and a slight decrease in R&D expense ratio to 15.3% [4][6].