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劲仔食品(003000):深化渠道建设,期待新品表现:——劲仔食品(003000.SZ)2025年三季报点评

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1.808 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.05%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 19.51% to 173 million yuan [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 685 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.55%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 61 million yuan, down 14.77% [1][2]. - The company is accelerating new product launches and strengthening channel construction, with significant improvements in revenue growth driven by fish products and snack wholesale channels [2]. - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 29.25%, with a slight decrease in Q3 to 28.93% due to rising raw material costs [3]. - The company is focusing on improving cost efficiency, with a net profit margin of 9.56% for the first three quarters of 2025, showing a sequential improvement compared to Q2 [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.808 billion yuan and a net profit of 173 million yuan, with a decrease in net profit margin to 8.89% in Q3 [1][3]. - The company’s revenue growth rate for 2025 is projected at 1.94%, with a net profit forecast of 254 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 12.77% [5]. Product and Market Strategy - The company is enhancing its product lineup with new offerings such as sesame sauce tripe and marinated tofu, aiming to leverage market trends and improve distribution speed [2]. - The company is also expanding its presence in overseas markets and adjusting its e-commerce strategy in response to declining traffic [2]. Cost and Profitability - The gross profit margin is under pressure due to increased costs of raw materials, particularly for fish and konjac products, but the company expects stable costs in the upcoming procurement season [3]. - The report indicates a focus on improving the efficiency of expense utilization, with a sales expense ratio of 13.81% for Q1-Q3 2025 [3]. Valuation and Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.56 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 21, 18, and 15 for 2025-2027 [4][5]. - The company’s strategy is clear, with active multi-channel expansion, supporting the "Buy" rating [4].