PACIFIC QUARTZ(SH:603688) HTSC·2025-10-27 04:51Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 238 million RMB in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 8.43% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 8.73%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 28.31 million RMB, down 49.48% year-on-year and 47.66% quarter-on-quarter, with a gross margin of 29%, down 10.84 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The semiconductor quartz product business is expected to recover due to the trend of domestic sand substitution, despite facing temporary supply chain and trade environment challenges in Q3 [1][2] - The photovoltaic quartz sand business is under pressure due to weak downstream demand, but a cautious sales strategy may mitigate risks [3] Summary by Sections Semiconductor Quartz Business - The report emphasizes the growth potential of semiconductor quartz materials driven by domestic substitution and supply chain security. The company has received certifications for its products from semiconductor manufacturers, which is expected to lead to increased orders and revenue [2] - The company has launched a new production line for high-purity quartz sand, adding 20,000 tons of capacity, with further expansions planned [2] Photovoltaic Quartz Sand Business - The report notes a significant increase in domestic photovoltaic installations, with a total of 240.27 GW added in the first nine months of 2025, a 49% year-on-year increase. However, Q3 saw a decline in installations, leading to reduced shipments of photovoltaic quartz sand [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to weak demand in the photovoltaic quartz sand sector and challenges in the semiconductor quartz materials market, the revenue and gross margin assumptions for 2025 have been revised downwards. The expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 200 million RMB, 497 million RMB, and 676 million RMB, respectively [4][12] - The target price for the company is set at 47.84 RMB, based on a 52x PE ratio for 2026 [4][6]