DUN'AN ENVIRONMENTAL(SZ:002011) Yin He Zheng Quan·2025-10-27 07:11Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Shun'an Environment (stock code: 002011) [2][5][56] Core Views - The company has shown steady performance with a total revenue of 9.723 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 769 million yuan, up 18.46% year-on-year [5][6] - The gross profit margin has been improving, with a gross margin of 17.91% for the first three quarters of 2025, and 19.25% for Q3 2025, reflecting effective cost control measures [5][12] - The company is actively promoting new growth areas in automotive thermal management and energy storage thermal management, with significant orders from major clients [7][56] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecasts: - 2024A: 12.678 billion yuan - 2025E: 13.387 billion yuan (growth of 5.6%) - 2026E: 14.896 billion yuan (growth of 11.3%) - 2027E: 16.735 billion yuan (growth of 12.3%) [2][56] - Net Profit Forecasts: - 2024A: 1.045 billion yuan - 2025E: 1.163 billion yuan (growth of 11.3%) - 2026E: 1.343 billion yuan (growth of 15.5%) - 2027E: 1.536 billion yuan (growth of 14.3%) [2][56] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2024A: 0.98 yuan - 2025E: 1.09 yuan - 2026E: 1.26 yuan - 2027E: 1.44 yuan [2][56] - Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratios: - 2024A: 13.81 - 2025E: 12.40 - 2026E: 10.74 - 2027E: 9.39 [2][56] Business Segment Performance - Automotive Thermal Management: Revenue reached 481 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 81.84% [6][8] - Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Components: Revenue of 5.412 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, up 8.8% year-on-year [6][8] - Refrigeration Equipment: Revenue declined by 31.43% to 483 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [6][8] Market Conditions - The domestic air conditioning market is expected to face pressure in the coming months due to reduced support from the old-for-new policy and high base effects from the previous year [5][24] - The company has launched a new stock incentive plan, aiming for significant growth in net profit over the next three years, reflecting confidence in new business developments [5][6]