Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [5]. Core Insights - The company, Guoquan, is a leading brand in the home dining food product sector in China, with over 10,150 stores as of 2024, and a revenue forecast of 6.47 billion yuan for the same year, with 84% of revenue coming from franchisees [1][4]. - The home dining market in China has grown significantly, with a CAGR of approximately 14.7% from 2018 to 2022, and the segment for food products has seen even faster growth at 25.5% [1][34]. - Guoquan's business model includes a deep integration of the supply chain and a focus on optimizing its commercial model, which is expected to enhance profitability [2][55]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Guoquan is positioned as a leading brand in home dining food products, offering a variety of ready-to-eat and ready-to-cook ingredients across eight categories [12][14]. - The company has established a nationwide franchise network, achieving a store count of 10,150 by the end of 2024 [1][26]. Industry Analysis - The home dining market in China has expanded from 32.48 trillion yuan in 2018 to 56.16 trillion yuan in 2022, with projections to reach 71.09 trillion yuan by 2027 [34]. - The competitive landscape is highly fragmented, with Guoquan holding a market share of approximately 3.0%, leading the industry [39]. Core Advantages - Guoquan employs a "single product, single factory" model, operating seven factories to cover various product categories, which enhances its supply chain efficiency [2][55]. - The company has established a robust network of over 300 suppliers, ensuring a comprehensive supply chain and optimizing production costs [55][56]. Future Outlook - The company aims to expand its store count to 20,000, primarily targeting lower-tier cities, with a projected revenue growth of 13.3% to 95.9 billion yuan by 2027 [2][3]. - Profitability is expected to improve, with net profit margins projected to rise as operational efficiencies are realized [3][27].
锅圈(02517):连锁化过万店,探索全供应链新模式