Workflow
新集能源(601918):财报点评:25Q3归母净利环比+43%,中长期成长可期

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2][5] Core Views - The company has shown a significant improvement in Q3 2025, with a 43% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders compared to the previous quarter, indicating potential for long-term growth [1][5] - The company is expected to see a 139% increase in controllable installed capacity after the commissioning of high-efficiency units in 2026, which will contribute to its growth [5][6] Financial Summary - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.2 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year but a 10.3% increase quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 560 million yuan, down 14.2% year-on-year but up 43.1% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] - The coal business saw a gross profit increase from 810 million yuan in Q1 2025 to 930 million yuan in Q3 2025, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15% [4] - The thermal power business experienced a gross profit increase from 170 million yuan in Q2 2025 to 290 million yuan in Q3 2025, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 66% [4] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to have revenues of 12.6 billion yuan in 2025, with a slight decline of 0.63% compared to 2024, followed by a growth of 12.08% in 2026 [6][12] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 2.05 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a decrease of 14.34% from 2024, with a recovery to 2.45 billion yuan in 2027 [6][12] Market Performance - The company's market capitalization is approximately 18.39 billion yuan, with a 52-week price range of 8.42 yuan to 6.23 yuan, and a 52-week increase of 13.96% [4][5]