Nanhua Futures(SH:603093) Nan Hua Qi Huo·2025-10-27 09:39Report Overview - Report Title: Stock Index Futures Daily Report [1] - Report Date: October 27, 2025 [2] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - Weekend Sino-US trade negotiations showed new progress, and the Fourth Plenary Session's policy orientation continued to influence. Today, stock indices opened higher and fluctuated, with trading volume in the two markets exceeding 2 trillion yuan, and the Shanghai 50 Index hitting a new high for the year. This week, the full - version of the "15th Five - Year Plan Proposal" and Sino - US negotiation results may be announced. It is expected that the stock indices will continue to be strong in the short term, but the upward trend driven by sentiment may not be sustainable. Today, the basis of stock index futures declined, and the short - selling willingness increased, reflecting market doubts about the upward trend. In terms of index style, small - and medium - cap stocks were dominant, but their advantage was not obvious, and the sustainability of small - cap stocks' dominance is limited [4] Market Review - Today, stock indices opened higher and fluctuated, with small - cap stocks performing strongly. The CSI 300 Index closed up 1.19%. The trading volume in the two markets increased by 365.922 billion yuan, and stock index futures rose with increased volume [3] Important Information - Sino - US economic and trade consultations in Kuala Lumpur: Reached a basic consensus on arrangements to address each other's concerns, and agreed to further determine specific details and complete domestic approval procedures [4] - US core CPI in September increased by 0.2% month - on - month, the slowest in three months, increasing the expectation of another Fed rate cut this year [4] - The People's Bank of China conducted 900 billion yuan of Medium - term Lending Facility (MLF) operations in October, with a net investment of 200 billion yuan. After hedging the matured reverse repurchase, the net investment of medium - term liquidity in October reached 60 billion yuan, maintaining a high level, showing a moderately loose monetary policy [4] - From January to September 2025, the profits of industrial enterprises above the designated size in China increased by 3.2% [4] Strategy Recommendation - Hold and wait and see [5] Market Observation Futures Market | Index | Main Contract Intraday Change (%) | Trading Volume (10,000 lots) | Trading Volume MoM (10,000 lots) | Open Interest (10,000 lots) | Open Interest MoM (10,000 lots) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IF | 1.24 | 11.3332 | - 0.2849 | 26.2244 | 0.6831 | | IH | 0.74 | 5.6298 | - 0.2681 | 9.8162 | 0.2833 | | IC | 1.76 | 13.6694 | - 0.1034 | 25.2585 | 0.8981 | | IM | 0.75 | 21.4742 | - 0.9711 | 35.8844 | 0.9755 | [6] Spot Market | Index | Value | | --- | --- | | Shanghai Composite Index Change (%) | 1.18 | | Shenzhen Component Index Change (%) | 1.51 | | Ratio of Rising to Falling Stocks | 1.32 | | Trading Volume in Two Markets (billion yuan) | 2340.132 | | Trading Volume MoM (billion yuan) | 365.922 | [6]