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锐捷网络(301165):2025 年三季报点评:Q3业务维持景气,利润受计提奖金影响

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, projecting a target price of 108.78 RMB based on a 2025 PE of 80x [3][8]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong business performance in the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue reaching 10.68 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 27.50%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 680 million RMB, up 65.26% [3][8]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 4.03 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.93%, although it experienced a quarter-on-quarter decline of 2.00% [3][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was 228 million RMB, down 11.49% year-on-year and 33.79% quarter-on-quarter, while the net profit after non-recurring items was 223 million RMB, a decrease of 9.50% year-on-year and 34.07% quarter-on-quarter [3][8]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 14.66 billion RMB, 17.86 billion RMB, and 21.27 billion RMB, respectively, with net profit attributable to shareholders expected to be 1.08 billion RMB, 1.59 billion RMB, and 2.13 billion RMB [3][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are projected at 1.36 RMB, 2.00 RMB, and 2.67 RMB [3][8]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 was 35.56%, showing an increase of 0.78 percentage points year-on-year and 5.02 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3][8]. Business Development - The company benefits from the rapid development of data communication switches, and a new equity incentive plan was introduced in September 2025, aiming for cumulative growth rates of no less than 25%, 38%, and 46% for 2025-2027 [3][10]. - The increase in payroll payable in Q3, which rose by 281 million RMB to 353 million RMB, was primarily due to performance wage provisions for 2025, leading to a significant increase in expenses [3][9].