wanhua(SH:600309) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-10-27 14:42Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 performance remained stable on a quarter-on-quarter basis, and there is optimism regarding its long-term growth potential [4][5] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 144.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.29%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.16 billion yuan, down 17.45% year-on-year [4] - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 53.32 billion yuan, an increase of 5.52% year-on-year and 11.48% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 3.03 billion yuan, up 3.96% year-on-year but down 0.20% quarter-on-quarter [4] - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the chemical sector and the improvement in product profitability, leading to future earnings growth [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downwards, with expected net profits of 12.59 billion yuan, 16.15 billion yuan, and 18.12 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to EPS of 4.02 yuan, 5.16 yuan, and 5.79 yuan [4][8] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 15.5, 12.1, and 10.8 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][8] Business Segment Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported sales volumes of 1.55 million tons for polyurethane, 1.75 million tons for petrochemicals, and 0.65 million tons for fine chemicals, with year-on-year increases of 9.93%, 32.58%, and 30.00% respectively [5] - The overall price trend for polyurethane products showed fluctuations, while the price levels for petrochemical products decreased year-on-year [5] Strategic Developments - The company successfully launched multiple new facilities in the first three quarters of 2025, continuing to expand its market presence and applications globally [6] - Significant advancements in R&D have been made, including successful commercialization of various products and technologies, which are expected to enhance the company's long-term growth capabilities [6]