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纵横股份(688070):3Q25利润扭亏为盈,低空经济战略布局初显成效

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 322 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 57.01%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -20 million yuan, an improvement from -53 million yuan in the same period last year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 188 million yuan, a year-over-year growth of 53.79% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 95.77%. The net profit for the quarter was 17 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses in both the previous year and the previous quarter [1][2]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 improved by 2.20 percentage points to 48.86%, while the net margin increased by 10.30 percentage points to 9.68% [1]. Financial Performance - The company effectively controlled expenses, with the expense ratio decreasing by 13.41 percentage points to 51.70%. The sales expense ratio decreased by 6.27 percentage points to 23.60%, and the management expense ratio decreased by 2.78 percentage points to 15.58% [2]. - Research and development expenses amounted to 36 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 20.40% [2]. - As of the end of Q3 2025, accounts receivable and notes totaled 156 million yuan, a decrease of 5.21% from the beginning of the year, while inventory increased by 13.50% to 230 million yuan [2]. Market Strategy - The company is actively expanding both domestic and international markets, focusing on the low-altitude economy. It aims to enhance its drone system applications and develop a low-altitude digital economy market [3]. - The company has initiated projects in various cities, including a 106 million yuan contract for a "Smart Bazhong" low-altitude digital economy unmanned system [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 7 million yuan, 60 million yuan, and 125 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 659x for 2025, 78x for 2026, and 37x for 2027 [4][5].